Thursday, April 06, 2006

Casey's Lead Plummets in Wake of NOW PAC Endorsement

According to a new Rasmussen poll, Casey's lead is shrinking. The latest poll has Casey at 50% Santorum at 41%. This seems to be the trend lately. But that is not the shocking news. Get this: when told about the NOW PAC endorsement, Casey's support plummets.
The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll in the Keystone State shows Democrat Bob Casey leading Santorum 50% to 41%. That's the first time in all six polls we've conducted on this race that Casey's lead has slipped to single digits. It's also the first time Santorum has moved above the 40% mark since last July. However, another aspect of the poll might be even more encouraging for Santorum... and troubling for Casey.

After asking survey respondents who they would vote for, we informed them that the National Organization for Women (NOW) is concerned about Casey on the abortion issue and is endorsing another candidate in the primary. We then asked a second time about how each respondent would vote.


Twenty-four percent (24%) of Casey's initial voters changed their mind upon hearing this news. Half switched to Santorum while the others split between "some other candidate" and "not sure." The change was dramatic enough that, having heard the new information, voters favored Santorum by a five-point margin (46% to 41%). This suggests a lack of voter knowledge about Casey that could make the race more competitive than it seems at this time.

This is great news for Pennacchio (and Sandals) supporters. It validates everything that Chuck has been saying. When given a choice between Santorum and a watered-down version of himself, people prefer the real thing. However, people also prefer a real alternative like Chuck Pennacchio. If Casey wins the primary, I am going to be scared in November.

Definitely read the full story; it's worth it.

Hat-tip to Santorumblog.

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